Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 7.052684e-05 0.000084 0.000098 0.000115 0.000133 0.000153 0.000176
2025-03-30 5.280600e-05 0.000070 0.000090 0.000114 0.000142 0.000175 0.000214
2025-04-06 4.203906e-05 0.000060 0.000082 0.000111 0.000146 0.000186 0.000236
2025-04-13 3.509198e-05 0.000054 0.000079 0.000112 0.000153 0.000203 0.000266
2025-04-20 2.785776e-05 0.000047 0.000072 0.000107 0.000152 0.000208 0.000281
2025-04-27 2.345203e-05 0.000042 0.000069 0.000106 0.000157 0.000220 0.000304
2025-05-04 2.000049e-05 0.000039 0.000066 0.000106 0.000161 0.000231 0.000326
2025-05-11 1.788969e-05 0.000037 0.000065 0.000109 0.000169 0.000248 0.000355
2025-05-18 1.572790e-05 0.000035 0.000064 0.000110 0.000175 0.000261 0.000380
2025-05-25 1.272363e-05 0.000030 0.000059 0.000106 0.000174 0.000265 0.000392
2025-06-01 1.045956e-05 0.000027 0.000056 0.000103 0.000174 0.000270 0.000406
2025-06-08 8.954119e-06 0.000025 0.000054 0.000103 0.000177 0.000280 0.000426
2025-06-15 7.565851e-06 0.000023 0.000053 0.000104 0.000183 0.000294 0.000454
2025-06-22 6.122325e-06 0.000021 0.000050 0.000102 0.000186 0.000304 0.000477
2025-06-29 4.747684e-06 0.000018 0.000047 0.000100 0.000186 0.000310 0.000494
2025-07-06 3.962405e-06 0.000017 0.000046 0.000100 0.000191 0.000324 0.000522
2025-07-13 2.864195e-06 0.000014 0.000042 0.000096 0.000188 0.000325 0.000532
2025-07-20 2.283622e-06 0.000013 0.000040 0.000095 0.000191 0.000335 0.000555
2025-07-27 1.820432e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000095 0.000194 0.000346 0.000579
2025-08-03 1.577805e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000098 0.000202 0.000364 0.000613
2025-08-10 1.301558e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000099 0.000208 0.000378 0.000642
2025-08-17 8.911456e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000095 0.000205 0.000380 0.000653
2025-08-24 6.158721e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000093 0.000205 0.000384 0.000668